| Szenario | True | False |
|---|---|---|
Russia wins by 2025 |
||
Ukraine wins by 2025 |
||
Ceasefire by 2026 |
||
Putin remains in power by 2026 |
||
Ukraine regains Crimea by 2026 |
||
Belarus officially enters the war |
||
NATO troops directly involved |
| Szenario | True | False |
|---|---|---|
Ukraine launches a major counteroffensive in 2025 |
||
Russia captures additional Ukrainian cities in 2025 |
||
NATO deploys troops in a non-combat role |
||
A high-profile assassination linked to the war occurs |
||
US and EU military aid exceeds $500 billion by 2026 |
||
Wagner or another PMC plays a key role in the war |
||
Major Ukrainian infrastructure suffers cyberattacks |
||
Russian military personnel desertions increase |
||
A nuclear power plant is attacked in the conflict |
||
Ukraine deploys new advanced AI-based military tech |
| Szenario | True | False |
|---|---|---|
Ukrainian refugee count surpasses 10 million by 2026 |
||
Russian emigration reaches 2 million by 2026 |
||
Martial law is declared in additional Russian cities |
||
A major humanitarian corridor collapses |
||
The UN officially classifies the war as genocide |
||
More than 100,000 new casualties are reported in 2025 |
||
Ukraine imposes stricter conscription policies |
||
Ukrainian economy contracts by over 10% in 2025 |
||
Russia reinstates full-scale mobilization |
||
International sanctions force mass layoffs in Russia |
| Szenario | True | False |
|---|---|---|
Vladimir Putin resigns or is removed by 2026 |
||
Ukraine and Russia enter official peace talks in 2025 |
||
A major European leader resigns over war-related policies |
||
A new political party emerges in Russia advocating peace |
||
Russia’s UN Security Council membership is challenged |
||
A BRICS nation publicly distances itself from Russia |
||
The US imposes additional major sanctions in 2025 |
||
China openly supports Russia with military aid |
||
A high-profile Russian oligarch is arrested abroad |
||
A new European military alliance is proposed |
| Szenario | True | False |
|---|---|---|
NATO directly intervenes militarily in Ukraine |
||
Russia deploys tactical nuclear weapons |
||
Ukraine successfully targets a major Russian military base |
||
A major Western arms company profits rise by over 50% |
||
A Russian hypersonic missile is used in a conflict zone |
||
A new military coup attempt occurs in Russia |
||
A NATO member experiences a cyberattack linked to Russia |
||
The Black Sea conflict zone expands significantly |
||
A Western country supplies long-range missiles to Ukraine |
||
New advanced drone warfare technology is deployed |
Potential Win: €-.--